{"id":19333,"date":"2026-04-11T13:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aceroyroca.com\/?p=19333"},"modified":"2026-04-15T05:50:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-15T05:50:13","slug":"crisis-mineria-venezuela-ley-inversion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/idealistic-platinum-hummingbird.187-127-10-185.cpanel.site\/index.php\/2026\/04\/11\/crisis-mineria-venezuela-ley-inversion\/","title":{"rendered":"Venezuela: un gigante minero con los pies de barro y sin inversi\u00f3n real"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

La C\u00e1mara Minera de Venezuela advierte que el pa\u00eds no logra atraer capital ni desarrollar proyectos. La discusi\u00f3n de una nueva ley avanza sin resolver cargas fiscales ni gobernanza, en un contexto de baja capacidad operativa y escasa confianza inversora.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Infraestructura<\/figure>\n\n\n\n
\n
\n

LO ESENCIAL EN 10 SEGUNDOS<\/em><\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

La miner\u00eda en Venezuela atraviesa una fase de estabilizaci\u00f3n sin inversi\u00f3n ni desarrollo operativo. Los proyectos est\u00e1n paralizados o funcionan por debajo del 10% de su capacidad. La nueva ley minera no resuelve problemas de competitividad ni incentivos, mientras persiste una d\u00e9bil gobernanza. Aunque existe potencial geol\u00f3gico y demanda internacional, la falta de capital y confianza limita el despegue. El sector enfrenta un dilema estructural: recursos disponibles sin industria capaz de explotarlos.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Proyectos frenados: el diagn\u00f3stico de la C\u00e1mara Minera de Venezuela<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Actualmente, la miner\u00eda venezolana atraviesa una fase de m\u00ednima actividad, con proyectos paralizados, inversi\u00f3n ausente y un marco regulatorio en discusi\u00f3n que a\u00fan no logra ofrecer condiciones competitivas. As\u00ed lo expuso Luis Rojas Machado<\/a>, presidente de la C\u00e1mara Minera de Venezuela<\/a><\/strong>, quien describi\u00f3 un escenario de estabilizaci\u00f3n inicial sin se\u00f1ales claras de despegue en el corto plazo. El diagn\u00f3stico: la actividad extractiva no logra traccionar capital ni consolidar operaciones relevantes.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Cargas fiscales: el punto de comparaci\u00f3n con la miner\u00eda argentina<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Luis<\/figure>
\n

\u201cEstamos en una etapa donde no pasa mucho en t\u00e9rminos de proyectos y ejecuci\u00f3n. Hay inter\u00e9s y potencial geol\u00f3gico, pero los proyectos no est\u00e1n y la inversi\u00f3n tampoco\u201d.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u00abEn t\u00e9rminos de redacci\u00f3n y competitividad no lo somos respecto a otros pa\u00edses, entre ellos Argentina. Tenemos que establecer cargas fiscales y t\u00e9rminos competitivos dentro del enunciado de la nueva ley. Esto no lo vemos presente todav\u00eda<\/em><\/strong>\u00ab.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Luis Rojas Machado, presidente de la C\u00e1mara Minera de Venezuela<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Falta de gobernanza y debilidad institucional<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Sin embargo, el problema excede lo normativo. \u201cM\u00e1s all\u00e1 de la ley, necesitamos construir gobernanza<\/a><\/strong> minera y esa todav\u00eda no est\u00e1 all\u00ed\u201d,<\/em> sostuvo. La fragmentaci\u00f3n de intereses entre Estado, sector privado y actores laborales dificulta la articulaci\u00f3n de un esquema institucional s\u00f3lido.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Inversi\u00f3n ausente y Estado sin capacidad financiera<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En t\u00e9rminos financieros, desde el punto de vista del capital, la lectura es conservadora. \u201cLa inversi\u00f3n es cobarde y va a esperar mejores condiciones. El Estado tampoco dispone de capacidad financiera para liderar el desarrollo\u00bb<\/em>. <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

De esta manera, surge un sector sin dinamismo, con actores fragmentados y sin coordinaci\u00f3n efectiva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"El
El Parlamento de Venezuela aprob\u00f3 este jueves una ley de miner\u00eda que abre la puerta a inversores extranjeros a la explotaci\u00f3n de las vastas reservas del pa\u00eds,<\/strong> bajo la presi\u00f3n de Estados Unidos. Imagen ilustrativa: ACERO Y ROCA.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Deterioro operativo: cuando el potencial no alcanza para producir<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Adem\u00e1s, el deterioro operativo refuerza ese cuadro. \u201cLos proyectos importantes est\u00e1n casi todos en menos del 10% de su capacidad instalada o directamente cerrados<\/strong>, como la mina de n\u00edquel. La falta de mantenimiento, exploraci\u00f3n y desarrollo durante a\u00f1os de desinversi\u00f3n dej\u00f3 al pa\u00eds sin volumen exportable relevante\u00bb<\/em>, expone el presidente.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Demanda internacional sin oferta minera<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A nivel comercial, en t\u00e9rminos de mercado, la situaci\u00f3n es cr\u00edtica. Existe inter\u00e9s internacional por minerales, pero Venezuela no logra ofrecer producto. \u201cVienen buscando productos mineros que no hay. Hay que invertir en exploraci\u00f3n y desarrollo para que existan\u201d,<\/em> remarc\u00f3. La secuencia es clara: sin inversi\u00f3n inicial no hay producci\u00f3n; sin producci\u00f3n no hay atractivo sostenido.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El plan de tres etapas para rescatar la miner\u00eda venezolana<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Frente a este escenario, Rojas Machado plantea una hoja de ruta en tres etapas: primero estabilizaci\u00f3n, luego transici\u00f3n con inversiones tempranas y finalmente recuperaci\u00f3n.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

El punto cr\u00edtico est\u00e1 en la fase intermedia. \u201cEl \u00e9xito de las primeras inversiones va a traer mucho mayor desarrollo aguas abajo\u201d,<\/em> se\u00f1al\u00f3. Sin ese punto de inflexi\u00f3n, el ciclo no arranca.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"proyectos
Toma a\u00e9rea de la mina Loma de N\u00edquel. Fuente: Ministerio del Poder Popular de Desarrollo Minero Ecol\u00f3gico.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Riesgo pol\u00edtico y reconstrucci\u00f3n de confianza<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Al mismo tiempo, el contexto pol\u00edtico introduce incertidumbre estructural. El cambio de autoridades no modifica de inmediato la l\u00f3gica institucional acumulada durante d\u00e9cadas. \u201cPretender que una corriente de 27 a\u00f1os cambie de la noche a la ma\u00f1ana no es viable\u201d<\/em>, afirm\u00f3 y remarc\u00f3 que \u00abla reconstrucci\u00f3n de confianza aparece como un proceso lento y condicionante, pero no imposible\u00bb.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Impacto social y restricci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En paralelo, a nivel social, el escenario combina expectativa y restricci\u00f3n. La poblaci\u00f3n percibe se\u00f1ales de apertura, pero mantiene cautela. \u201cHay optimismo y esperanza, pero reprimida\u201d<\/em>, describi\u00f3. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

La debilidad econ\u00f3mica es evidente. La mayor\u00eda de los ingresos no cubre una canasta b\u00e1sica estimada en 600 d\u00f3lares mensuales.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Potencial geol\u00f3gico sin desarrollo<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

A pesar de este contexto, el potencial geol\u00f3gico<\/strong> sigue siendo el principal activo estrat\u00e9gico. Venezuela dispone de hierro, bauxita, carb\u00f3n y calizas<\/strong>, adem\u00e1s de recursos met\u00e1licos y no met\u00e1licos de escala. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

El desaf\u00edo es convertir ese potencial en proyectos bancables. \u201cHay \u00e1reas donde la inversi\u00f3n va a tener \u00e9xito seguro, pero hay que desarrollar proyectos de bandera que posicionen al pa\u00eds en la inversi\u00f3n minera internacional\u201d<\/em>, indic\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"recursos
Venezuela concentra una de las mayores reservas minerales de Am\u00e9rica Latina, oro, hierro, bauxita y tierras raras, pero la falta de inversi\u00f3n, infraestructura y gobernanza mantiene ese potencial sin desarrollo industrial efectivo. Imagen ilustrativa: ACERO Y ROCA.<\/em><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Capital extranjero y condiciones de acceso<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

El debate sobre el rol de capitales extranjeros tambi\u00e9n est\u00e1 presente, si bien existen temores sobre dependencia externa, el dirigente relativiza ese riesgo. \u201cNo hay necesidad de eso para que tengan acceso a los recursos. Lo que necesitamos es imperio de la ley y empresas que respeten el ambiente y la sociedad<\/strong>\u201d<\/em>, afirm\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ventana de entrada: riesgo temprano vs. oportunidad<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En este escenario, el mensaje hacia el sector es pragm\u00e1tico. La ventana de entrada se abre antes de que las condiciones sean \u00f3ptimas. \u201cEsperar que todo est\u00e9 resuelto probablemente te deje fuera del reparto de propiedad y proyectos. La l\u00f3gica es posicionarse en etapas tempranas, aun con altos niveles de incertidumbre\u00bb.<\/em> advirti\u00f3 Machado.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Un dilema estructural: recursos sin industria<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

En s\u00edntesis, Venezuela enfrenta un dilema operativo. Tiene recursos, pero no tiene industria, tiene inter\u00e9s externo, pero no tiene producto. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

La transici\u00f3n minera depender\u00e1 de resolver esa ecuaci\u00f3n con reglas claras, capital y gobernanza. Sin esos tres factores alineados, la estabilizaci\u00f3n puede prolongarse sin convertirse en desarrollo real.<\/p>\n\n\n

Antonela Rodriguez<\/div>
Antonela Rodriguez<\/span><\/a><\/div>
<\/div><\/div>
<\/div>
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Con proyectos operando al 10%, Venezuela debate una ley minera que a\u00fan no logra atraer el capital necesario para 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