{"id":13634,"date":"2025-12-30T00:00:30","date_gmt":"2025-12-30T03:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aceroyroca.com\/?p=13634"},"modified":"2025-12-30T00:00:30","modified_gmt":"2025-12-30T03:00:30","slug":"exportaciones-mineras-argentina-2026-caem-nadav-rajzman","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/idealistic-platinum-hummingbird.187-127-10-185.cpanel.site\/index.php\/2025\/12\/30\/exportaciones-mineras-argentina-2026-caem-nadav-rajzman\/","title":{"rendered":"Nadav Rajzman: \u00abLa miner\u00eda se consolidar\u00e1 como el tercer motor de divisas del pa\u00eds\u00bb"},"content":{"rendered":"
\"Por
Por Yenhy Navas<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

En una entrevista ACARO Y ROCA, Nadav Rajzman, Economista Jefe de la C\u00e1mara Argentina de Empresas Mineras (CAEM), analiz\u00f3 el presente y futuro del sector. El especialista destac\u00f3 que, tras un 2025 de r\u00e9cords nominales, la industria se prepara para una transformaci\u00f3n estructural hacia 2026 impulsada por el ordenamiento macroecon\u00f3mico y la transici\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica.<\/strong><\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

\"Camiones
Las exportaciones mineras Argentina 2026 proyectan un salto hist\u00f3rico en la balanza comercial. Imagen ilustrativa de ACERO Y ROCA<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

R\u00e9cord de exportaciones impulsado por el precio de los metales preciosos<\/h2>\n

Efectivamente, el a\u00f1o 2025 cierra con un hito en las divisas argentinas gracias al fuerte incremento en las cotizaciones de oro y plata<\/a><\/b>. Rajzman detall\u00f3 que el oro registr\u00f3 m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos arriba de los USD 4.000 por onza<\/b>, mientras que la plata se ubic\u00f3 en torno a los USD 50<\/b>.<\/p>\n

No obstante, el economista advierte que estas cifras esconden un desaf\u00edo: los vol\u00famenes de producci\u00f3n de metales preciosos caen sostenidamente desde 2019<\/b>. Esta situaci\u00f3n responde a que los yacimientos principales acumulan d\u00e9cadas de operaci\u00f3n con leyes decrecientes<\/b> y una falta hist\u00f3rica de incentivos para nuevas inversiones.<\/p>\n

\"Lingotes
El precio del oro alcanz\u00f3 m\u00e1ximos en 2025, pero la producci\u00f3n f\u00edsica enfrenta declives naturales. Imagen ilustrativa de ACERO Y ROCA<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

El litio como motor de volumen para compensar la baja de precios<\/h2>\n

Por el contrario, el mercado del litio muestra una din\u00e1mica inversa. Durante 2025, el precio internacional se estabiliz\u00f3 en USD 8.500 por tonelada<\/b>, una baja abrupta respecto a los picos de a\u00f1os anteriores<\/b>.<\/p>\n

A pesar de ello, Argentina logr\u00f3 una expansi\u00f3n f\u00edsica notable al pasar de dos a siete operaciones activas<\/b>. Esto gener\u00f3 un crecimiento estimado del 75% interanual<\/b>, compensando la ca\u00edda de los precios mediante un aumento masivo en la capacidad productiva del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n

\"Retrato
Nadav Rajzman (CAEM): \u00abSin estabilidad macro y RIGI, las grandes obras son inalcanzables<\/em>\u00ab. <\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

La oportunidad estrat\u00e9gica del cobre en San Juan y el d\u00e9ficit global<\/h2>\n

En este sentido, el cobre se posiciona como el mineral cr\u00edtico del futuro cercano. Su demanda es traccionada por la movilidad el\u00e9ctrica \u2014que requiere hasta cinco veces m\u00e1s cobre<\/b> que un veh\u00edculo convencional\u2014 y el auge de los data centers e Inteligencia Artificial<\/a><\/b>.<\/p>\n

Por lo tanto, el consenso internacional anticipa un d\u00e9ficit estructural de cobre<\/b> para la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada. En este escenario, proyectos sanjuaninos como Vicu\u00f1a<\/a>, Los Azules<\/a> y El Pach\u00f3n<\/a><\/b> resultan fundamentales, aunque Rajzman aclara que para concretar inversiones de este CAPEX (m\u00e1s de USD 30.000 millones)<\/b> se requiere resolver temas pendientes como la Ley de Glaciares<\/b><\/a>, que hoy no brinda la certidumbre necesaria.<\/p>\n

\"Planta
Argentina ya cuenta con siete operaciones de litio activas tras un crecimiento del 75%. Imagen ilustrativa de ACERO Y ROCA<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

RIGI: el andamiaje necesario para las grandes inversiones de capital<\/h2>\n

Para que esto sea posible, la implementaci\u00f3n del R\u00e9gimen de Incentivo para Grandes Inversiones (RIGI)<\/a><\/b> ha sido clave. Rajzman confirma que ya se han presentado 13 proyectos mineros bajo este marco por m\u00e1s de USD 35.000 millones<\/b>, con 3 proyectos ya aprobados por cerca de USD 3.000 millones<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Es fundamental entender que la estabilidad es vital en esta industria, donde abrir una mina puede tomar hasta 15 a\u00f1os de exploraci\u00f3n y desarrollo<\/b> sin generar ingresos. Sin el RIGI y el ordenamiento macroecon\u00f3mico<\/b>, el financiamiento sostenible para estas obras de alta intensidad de capital ser\u00eda inalcanzable.<\/p>\n

\"Paisaje
San Juan es la clave para cubrir el d\u00e9ficit de cobre que exige la transici\u00f3n energ\u00e9tica. Imagen ilustrativa de ACERO Y ROCA<\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\u00a0El rol de los proveedores locales en la nueva cadena de valor<\/b><\/h2>\n

En consecuencia, la expansi\u00f3n minera abre una ventana hist\u00f3rica para el fortalecimiento de la cadena de valor local. Sin embargo, Rajzman enfatiza que el beneficio no es autom\u00e1tico y requiere planificaci\u00f3n y est\u00e1ndares de excelencia<\/b>.<\/p>\n

Rubros con mayor potencial de crecimiento para pymes locales<\/h3>\n

Desde la visi\u00f3n de CAEM<\/b>, las operadoras valoran la confiabilidad t\u00e9cnica y el cumplimiento de plazos<\/b> por sobre el precio aislado. Las mayores oportunidades se concentran en:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • Metalmec\u00e1nica e insumos de construcci\u00f3n<\/b> como el hormig\u00f3n y la cal.<\/li>\n
  • Qu\u00edmicos<\/b> (reactivos como soda y cal) y log\u00edstica en altura<\/b>.<\/li>\n
  • Software y servicios del conocimiento<\/b> para gesti\u00f3n de mantenimiento y trazabilidad.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Conclusi\u00f3n: la miner\u00eda como pilar de la econom\u00eda nacional<\/h2>\n

    Finalmente, las proyecciones indican que la miner\u00eda consolidar\u00e1 su peso en la balanza comercial. Tras cerrar 2024 con USD 4.673 millones, se espera que 2025 alcance los USD 5.800 millones en exportaciones<\/b>.<\/p>\n

    De cara al futuro, la miner\u00eda ya se ubica como el cuarto sector exportador del pa\u00eds<\/b>. Con el avance de las inversiones en cobre, Rajzman concluye que el sector se consolidar\u00e1 como un motor genuino de divisas<\/b>, situ\u00e1ndose solo detr\u00e1s del agro y la energ\u00eda<\/b><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    En una entrevista ACARO Y ROCA, Nadav Rajzman, Economista Jefe de la C\u00e1mara Argentina de Empresas Mineras (CAEM), analiz\u00f3 el […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":13640,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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